Q2 2026 Economic and Market Review
When we wrote our Q1 economic and market update, the conflict between the United States and Iran was underway. There was great uncertainty about whether a deal would be made, yet optimism from markets that a swift conclusion would be found. Three months later, we are in much the same position. Many of us are exhausted by the contradictory messages and actions that keep coming out about the conflict and its potential humanitarian and economic implications. There has been a persistent lack of clarity and useful information coming out of Washington. In this letter, we hope to offer something more useful: a look at what actually happened in the economy during the second quarter, what the markets are telling us, and what it may mean for your portfolio as we head toward the fall.